While many of us on this side of the pond have either been
crying and complaining, or celebrating and enthusiastic due to the election of Donald
Trump, there's one thing we can all count on – the lack of mainstream media
coverage on what is happening in Libya, Yemen and Iraq. I would add Syria, but
the mere mention of
Aleppo given the incessant repetition it is written and
orally stated daily, may make me want to throw-up.
It seems that the Iraqi security forces, elements of the Iranian
Republican Guard, Shia militias and Kurdish Peshmerga,
after more than three months, have ISIS jihadist on the ropes and are finally entering Eastern Mosul,
closing in on ISIL/ISIS last positions. To be succinct,
the battle has been more of an effort and struggle than the
Obama Administration said it would be since the Mosul offensive
began October 17. At one point the
United Nations had reported that more than 2,000 Iraqi troops had been killed by November (a
figure disputed by the Iraqi government and Iraq Joint Operation Command). According
to the UN, this includes the army, police, Kurdish Peshmerga, interior ministry
forces and pro-government paramilitaries.
It is hard to fathom that the Obama administration or the Pentagon did
not conceive that recapturing Mosul would not be an easy task in particular
given
waiting more than two years of ISIL rule to do so and offering advanced
notice of the operation. With the unexpected difficulty of uprooting
ISIL/ISIS/Daesh fighters, and the more than anticipated length of time it has
consumed thus far to do such, another problem has arisen that was not projected
– a
riff developing between Iraq and Turkey.
The Kurdistan Workers' Party is based in Turkey and Iraq. Since 1984
the PKK has waged an armed struggle against the Turkish state for equal rights
and self-determination for the purpose of forming their own independent nation
state. From this point of view, if I were Erdogan, this would be a tactic that
could be employed to prevent the
PKK elements from gaining a foot print in Tal Afar, an invalid fear according to according to the Iraqi’s since they have guaranteed
that PMF fighters will not get involved in the Mosul and Tel Afar campaigns.
What has been made clear by
Baghdad is that the Bashiqa camp is an Iraqi camp has to and will be run and controlled by Iraqi administrative authorities.
However a recent visit by a visit to meet Turkish troops by
Turkish Health Minister Recep AkdaÄŸ and Energy Minister Berat Albayrak to Bashiqa has stirred
the pot even more and has troubled the Iraqi government. Iraq and Turkey have
agreed that the Turkish military will withdraw from the Bashiqa camp when the
Mosul offensive is complete, but until then, Baghdad wants the camp to
immediately be turned over to Iraq control. Then there is Turkey’s ultimatum
that Baghdad end any and all financial support to local groups in the Sinjar
region which they state are affiliated with the PKK.
Whatever the case is, even if ISIL is defeated and removed from Mosul, there
will remain a major issue to be settled between the leadership in Ankara and
Baghdad. Will it be settled peacefully
with diplomacy or violently taking these two nations to the precipice of war is
the query.